期刊簡介預計審稿時間： 12 Weeks

The background and content of "Prediction of Economic and Social Change Trends" involve multiple aspects, including changes in the global economic landscape, prospects for the Chinese economy, and analysis and prediction of social situations. Firstly, from the perspective of the global economic landscape, 2021-2035 is a period of profound adjustment in the global political and economic landscape. During this period, globalization was an irreversible trend that had a profound impact on the development of the world economy. The global economic growth rate is showing a downward trend, and the growth rate of developed economies may further slow down, while the growth rate of developing countries has declined. At the same time, China has become the main stabilizing force for long-term global economic growth, and it is expected that China's economic status will become even more important in the future, with its economic scale surpassing that of the United States, and China and the United States will become the world's two superpowers.

Secondly, from the perspective of the outlook for the Chinese economy, 2024 is the year when the Chinese economy continues to recover, with the main tone being "comprehensive recovery". China will continue to implement an active fiscal policy and a prudent monetary policy, and the deficit size will continue to expand. The deficit ratio will return to above 3% to achieve the goals of stabilizing expectations, growth, and employment. In addition, promoting the rapid growth and development of new quality productive forces, as well as building a modern industrial system, are also key trends in China's economic development.

《經(jīng)濟和社會變化事實趨勢預測》的背景和內(nèi)容涉及多個方面，包括全球經(jīng)濟格局的變化、中國經(jīng)濟的展望，以及社會形勢的分析與預測。首先，從全球經(jīng)濟格局的角度來看，2021至2035年是一個全球政治經(jīng)濟格局深刻調(diào)整的時期。這一時期，全球化是一個不可逆轉的趨勢，對世界經(jīng)濟的發(fā)展產(chǎn)生了深遠的影響。全球經(jīng)濟增長速度呈現(xiàn)趨勢性下降，發(fā)達經(jīng)濟體的增長速度將可能進一步放緩，而發(fā)展中國家的增長速度有所下降。同時，中國成為全球經(jīng)濟長期增長的主要穩(wěn)定力量，預計未來中國的經(jīng)濟地位將更加重要，經(jīng)濟規(guī)模將超過美國，中美將成為全球兩個超級大國。

其次，從中國經(jīng)濟的展望來看，2024年是中國經(jīng)濟繼續(xù)恢復的一年，主基調(diào)是“全面復蘇”。中國將繼續(xù)執(zhí)行積極的財政政策和穩(wěn)健的貨幣政策，赤字規(guī)模會繼續(xù)擴大，赤字率將重新回歸到3%上方，以達到穩(wěn)預期、穩(wěn)增長、穩(wěn)就業(yè)的目標。此外，推動新質生產(chǎn)力的快速成長和發(fā)展，以及建設現(xiàn)代化產(chǎn)業(yè)體系也是中國經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的關鍵趨勢。

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